Caps Scoring Chances thru Oct 31, 2010

Boyd Gordon

The Capitals are undefeated in games in which Boyd Gordon plays. (Photo credit: Greg Fiume)

Another week has passed, and we saw Alex Ovechkin get his first power play goals, Perreault make a case to be sent back down to Hershey, and the duo of Erskine and Sloan have such a good game that NHL.com decided it would rather shut down its whole server than to acknowledge it.

With 13% of the season in the books, here is my weekly recap of the Caps scoring chances.

I use a specific definition of what I consider a scoring chance based on shot quality data and log everyone who is on the ice at the time using the script from Vic Ferrari. As always you can find the spreadsheet online.

The cracks in the “Flash as 2C” experiment seem to be showing. If we adjust his Corsi for his offensive zone starts he is a -9 at 5v5 per 60 min. He is on the wrong side of the scoring differential at even-strength and does not even register a full chance per 2 min of PP time. Add in a woeful 39.8% faceoff win percentage, and we see why Boudreau went with HHBL21 at the pivot on Saturday night.

Not sure when we realize Brian Fahey may not be an NHLer. Boudreau has started him in the offensive zone 90% of the time, yet he still can’t keep the puck possession in the offensive zone: -1.5 Scoring Chance differential at evens and a negative 33.6 Corsi per 60 min of 5v5 ice time when adjusted for zone starts. That means a team full of Faheys would  barely beat the Mites on Ice. It’s difficult to make me long for Tyler Sloan, but seeing Fahey rocking the red comes close.

Poor John Carlson. His rookie mistakes are magnified given all the hype, but his defense has not been that bad. He has full faith from Coach Bodreau, who continues to use him as a shutdown blueliner, he does a decent job on the PK, and he has only a slight negative in the scoring chance differential at 5v5. This is what future Norris Trophy winners are made of.

Know Boyd Gordon, know win. No Boyd Gordon, no win. The Caps are now 5-0 when Gordon is in the game. His contributions may not show up in the game recaps, but he continues to do “the little things” that help a team win: keep the scoring chances on the plus side, provide stability in the defensive zone and kill penalties. Perhaps a “Vote for Boyd” campaign is needed?

Player 5v5 TOI SC +/- Per 15min PP TOI PP SCF/2min PK TOI PK SCA/2min
Mattheiu Perreault 22.2 2.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Brooks Laich 121.1 1.4 34.3 1.7 26.2 1.0
Nicklas Backstrom 152.2 1.2 39.5 1.5 15.7 0.5
Mike Knuble 144.0 0.9 30.3 0.9 9.6 0.4
Jeff Schultz 170.7 0.8 2.4 0.0 38.6 0.5
Alex Ovechkin 166.5 0.5 54.6 1.5 0.3 0.0
Alexander Semin 133.5 0.3 32.7 2.1 18.5 0.8
Boyd Gordon 48.0 0.3 1.5 1.3 17.0 0.6
Karl Alzner 145.6 0.3 3.6 0.0 18.1 0.7
Mike Green 111.1 0.1 34.5 1.5 21.7 0.7
Tom Poti 62.5 (0.2) 9.8 1.0 10.6 0.8
Tyler Sloan 86.7 (0.3) 0.0 0.0 5.7 1.0
Matt Hendricks 78.1 (0.4) 2.2 2.7 19.8 0.7
Tomas Fleischmann 113.5 (0.4) 26.7 0.9 5.8 0.7
John Carlson 168.3 (0.5) 19.5 1.4 29.5 0.8
DJ King 24.1 (0.6) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Eric Fehr 93.7 (0.6) 21.2 1.3 0.0 0.0
Marcus Johansson 62.8 (0.7) 2.7 0.7 6.0 0.7
John Erskine 146.4 (0.9) 2.5 0.8 31.2 0.8
Brian Fahey 20.0 (1.5) 1.5 1.3 0.7 0.0
Jason Chimera 111.1 (1.9) 4.8 0.4 15.3 0.7
David Steckel 60.9 (2.0) 0.4 0.0 21.5 0.9
Matt Bradley 42.3 (2.8) 0.1 0.0 1.6 0.0
Jay Beagle 5.2 (14.5) 0.1 0.0 1.3 0.0
  • http://capfan.com capfan

    John Carlson keeps getting a free pass but no love for King Karl. Alzner has been our best defenseman this season but he gets no respect from the fans.

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  • Brad

    @capfan Carlson is an offensive defender. So like Mike Green, he can play horrible on defense and rack points on offensive and his defending will be overshadowed by his offense