OvechkinCelebration

Photo credit: Justin K. Aller

Players get older; they slow down. Elite goal scorers drop off as they enter their late twenties. It’s time to realize this has happened to Alex Ovechkin. He may have the same name as the guy who scored 65 goals five years ago, but he is far from the same player. And it’s not his fault.

Nine of Ovechkin’s 15 goals have come off the same shot from the same spot: a one-timer from the circles. Seven of those have been on the power play. More remarkably, Ovechkin has not held the puck for more than a second on any of his goals this season save for one. He no longer scores on the rush.

The Washington Capitals invested $123 million dollars in Alex Ovechkin. They cannot have him not score. If he isn’t scoring the way he used to, they will adjust the game plan for him. That’s exactly what first year head coach Adam Oates has done. The new power play he instituted is designed to get Ovechkin the puck at any costs — and it works brilliantly. Ten of his 15 tallies this year (2/3) have come on the power play, the highest ratio of power play to even-strength goals of any player with more than 10 markers. He leads the NHL in man advantage goals.

The power play was one of two changes Oates made at the start of the season in an attempt to reignite Ovechkin. He also shifted Ovechkin from left wing, the position he had played his entire life, to the right side. There were likely a few reasons for this. Oates insists, almost obsessively, that right-handed shooters play on the right side and conversely that lefties play on the left. Anything else, he contends, is unnatural.

“You look back through the history of baseball and every shortstop throws right,” Oates told CBC’s Elliotte Friedman. “How many plays won’t be made because a left-handed shortstop isn’t able to turn, get set, and make the throw with strength or speed?”

That is Oates’s philosophy.

At first, Ovi looked bemused on the right wing. He crashed into teammates twice before he scored a goal this season. After a quick switch back to the left side at Ovechkin’s request, Ovi was at right wing once again. Oates didn’t just want Ovechkin to have a slightly better angle on the net by making switch. Rather, Ovi was getting stale at left wing — defenders knew his moves and how to stop them. The rate at which Ovechkin was poke checked or bumped off the puck after entering the offensive zone on the rush became frustrating.

Ovechkin looks comfortable now on the right, but the goals on the rush still don’t come — has just one this season. He still tries, he still wants to carry the puck into the zone, but he doesn’t score.

The goals must come from somewhere else, and they do. The Caps feed him the puck so he can launch a quick shot from the circles, usually on the power play.

The defense collapses to the right, Ovi is left wide open, happy times.

The defense collapses to the right, Ovi is left wide open, happy times.

Unlike last year, Ovechkin is now at the circles, not the point, during the man advantage. This means he is often wide open thanks to Washington’s new 1-3-1 power play. Roughly, that means one player is near the net, one player is in the slot, one player is on each circle, and one player is on the point. When the Capitals move the puck around, the defense reacts, collapsing on the player with possession. If that guy is on the right side, Ovechkin is able release a one-timer before the defense reacts.

“It really puts on emphasis on that weak side position where Ovechkin’s playing,” Hershey Bears head coach Mark French, who oversees a similar power play with his team, told RMNB’s Ian Oland a month ago. “He’s really the guy that’s going to score a lot of the goals because the puck’s going to eventually get to him.”

When executed well, this game plan is deadly. The Caps have the best power play in the league, one that coverts 24.5% of the time. Last season, Washington’s unit was ranked 18th in the NHL. Ovechkin is responsible for almost 40% of the team’s 26 power play goals. Ovi has four assists a man up too, meaning he’s been on the scoresheet for 54% of the team’s power play goals.

Despite the myriad of struggles the Capitals have faced this season, their power play is excellent. What happens, though, when defenses realize it’s worth leaving a man open in front to prevent an Ovi Shot from the Ovi Spot? Eventually opponents will catch up on Washington’s strategy as the tape piles up. Of course, the nature of a power play is that one team has more players than the other. Somebody must be open. If opponents cue on Ovi, another Cap will be left free to shoot in front — maybe Nick Backstrom, maybe Troy Brouwer.

“I guess you pick your poison,” said French.

This power play works. Adam Oates is a good coach. The Capitals may not have a good roster yet, and it’s certainly losing them games, but they do have a smart tactician behind the bench. This team has a solid foundation, but they still need the right players.

January 27 vs. Buffalo

February 23 vs. New Jersey

March 7 vs. Florida

March 14 at Carolina

March 19 at Pittsburgh

March 21 at Winnipeg

March 22 at Winnipeg

  • http://www.facebook.com/boris.mewborn1 Boris Mewborn

    You know, I am sick and tired of people saying that we don’t have a good team or coach. I thank you for saying we have a good coach! We also have a good roster; but, you can’t expect a team to play well when it goes through three coaches (three systems) in two seasons – it doesn’t matter who you are. If the Chicago Blackhawks suffered from our inconsistency symdrome, they would be in a similar situation.

  • Reg

    Boris, I think we have a very good coach but an EXTREMELY flawed roster.

  • CDizz

    He’s 27. Not 35. Not 30. Twenty Seven. That’s when most players hit their peak. Stop using age as an explanation – 27 is not old at all. When he hits 30, then you can use that excuse.

  • http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/ Peter Hassett

    Goal scorers peak at 23-24. It’s not an excuse, it’s a reviewed and verified fact.

  • http://twitter.com/mishapolishchuk Миша Полищук

    Tell this to Cristiano Ronaldo…

  • http://twitter.com/mishapolishchuk Миша Полищук

    And to Pavel Bure and Mike Bossy also.

  • rebel177

    Shultz, Poti, Wardo and Chimmer are all 30 somethings [ xcept Shultz] and replaceable, thus freeing up roughly10-11 mil in cap space. Orlov, Kondratek and Olesky are on board for roughly 2. 2 mil for all 3. Figure 3,5 mil for Alzner, leaving a few bucks for Ribs. Neuvy a RFA and may want a nominal raise to stick around and carry the violin case for Holtby. Assuming Caps keep Green, they still have room to wiggle w/Ribs and some left over to make Fehr happy. If Caps move the above mentioned 4 along with Green, they have plenty of room to re-make the roster. I don’t WANT to move Green but his health history is now a certified issue when penciling in his contributions. Caps still need a couple of 45-50 pt forwards. Oh,btw, Mojo to the Ice Capades for a cone of cotton candy cuz the cotton candy is not as soft as he is.

  • http://www.facebook.com/codyja Cody J. Anderson

    except the Blackhawks are CONSISTENT Washington isn’t who they use to be, not much of a threat in the east now.

  • Mjlarson

    That’s the point Boris is trying to make….the inconsistency comes from the coaching staff being shuffled around, not the players…

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=1005713165 Pat Magee

    Teemu Selanne.

  • http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/ Peter Hassett

    Selanne is a somewhat compelling but totally singular anecdote.

  • http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/ Peter Hassett

    (that’s points-per-game compared to age)

  • CDizz

    Lots of evidence back both of us up but here is some solid data – http://fromtherink.sbnprivate.com/2010/7/16/1572579/when-is-an-nhl-players-prime-age.
    Also, Malkin and Crosby are both past 23-24 and still look to be climbing the skill ladder. Ribeiro is 33 and currently leads the team in points. Ovi is not ordinary; he is a once in a generation talent, which is why I refuse to believe that he can go from 100+ points to below a point per game in a few years because “he’s getting old at 27.” I don’t mean to pick a fight, but I just think that age is purely an excuse in his case.

  • http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/ Peter Hassett

    Sall good.

    It might be that I don’t use the word excuse in the same way you do, but I have written precisely about this topic for two years now.

    Age, a team that cares less about offense, less ice time, worse teammates, fewer power plays across the league, a stagnated skill set, more shot blocking. Those are reasons why Ovechkin has fallen off. We can dither about which reason is more pronounced than another, but they’re all there working in concert– and we see it manifested in one stat: shots per game.

    You wanna know the main reason why Ovi isn’t ever gonna hit 65 again? It’s because he doesn’t shoot 7 shots per game anymore.

  • CDizz

    ^and Bingo was his name-o!

  • Steve

    So much for this article, eh?

  • http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/ Chris Gordon

    Power play goals are still the main contributor to his success. They were masking his struggles at even-strength (which were real) and now they’re propelling him to the top of the leader boards. What the Capitals are trying to do with him hasn’t changed, it’s just working better — which is great.

  • http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/ Chris Gordon

    Also that Nick Backstrom guy is good.