Russian Machine Never Breaks » Poll http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com A cheerfully demented Washington Capitals site with a healthy fixation on Alex Ovechkin and his Russian bros. CRASH THE NET! Tue, 18 Jun 2013 03:44:37 +0000 en-US hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.5.1 Will Alex Ovechkin Rally Down The Stretch? http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2011/01/31/will-ovechkin-rally-down-the-stretch/ http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2011/01/31/will-ovechkin-rally-down-the-stretch/#comments Tue, 01 Feb 2011 02:13:01 +0000 Neil Greenberg http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/?p=13433 NHL+Ovechkin

Photo credit: Richard Wolowicz

Coming into this season, I referenced PDO and why it would be responsible for the Caps’ offensive woes this season. The good news is that the pendulum swings the other way too, so while this season has been quite a disappointment — even more so than I thought it might be — I think the final stretch may progress to the mean.

Why? Alex Ovechkin. Randomly pulling shots out of his career, the chances of Alex scoring only 19 goals on 234 shots is 81-to-1, a 1.25% chance. Over his career, Alex Ovechkin in 396 games had 269 goals on 2159 shots for a shooting percentage of 12.5%. If we use the equation for margin of error, we can be 95% sure his real finishing ability is between 11.07% and 13.85%. This season’s shooting percentage of 8.1% falls way outside the 95% confidence level, so I think a stronger finish is possible.

With 31 games left, we project Ovechkin will have 142 shots on goal. If he rebounds to his “real” finishing ability of 11-14%, he could net 15 to 20 goals in the season’s remainder, coming close to ending the year with 40 goals scored.

My money is on 34 goals. What do you think Ovechkin will end the season with?

How many goals will Alex Ovechkin have this season?

  • 30
  • 31
  • 32
  • 33
  • 34
  • 35
  • 36
  • 37
  • 38
  • 39
  • 40+

View Results

]]> http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2011/01/31/will-ovechkin-rally-down-the-stretch/feed/ 5 What Should The NHL Do with the Caps/Pens Game? http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2010/02/06/what-should-the-nhl-do-with-the-capspens-game/ http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2010/02/06/what-should-the-nhl-do-with-the-capspens-game/#comments Sun, 07 Feb 2010 01:57:52 +0000 Ian Oland http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/?p=1608
poll by twiigs.com

poll by twiigs.com

]]> http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2010/02/06/what-should-the-nhl-do-with-the-capspens-game/feed/ 1 Was Mike Green’s Suspension Too Harsh? Vote Below. http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2010/01/30/was-mike-green-suspension-too-harsh/ http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2010/01/30/was-mike-green-suspension-too-harsh/#comments Sat, 30 Jan 2010 20:45:12 +0000 Ian Oland http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/?p=1360 Since everyone is discussing on Twitter, please let us know what you think of the Mike Green suspension. What would you have done? Here’s the Russian Machine’s Take. Lastly, if you want to help Mike Green make up for the 81k he lost due to the suspension, please buy these autographed bobbleheads from his online store for $80!. We only need 1,000 of you to buy to make it happen. Easy.

poll by twiigs.com

poll by twiigs.com

poll by twiigs.com

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