Travis Yost recently discussed the utility of individual point percentage (IPP) in forecasting player performance. The article is a great introduction to IPP, so I recommend reading the entire thing if you’re not familiar with the concept.
Here’s a excerpt:
Another metric I like to look at is ‘Individual Point Percentage’ (“IPP“), which shows how frequently a player was awarded a point in an event his team (a) scored; and (b) the player was on the ice. Much like our on-ice save percentage example for defencemen, IPP regresses substantially towards league averages. On average, forwards usually receive a point on about 68 per cent of goals scored when they are on the ice. That number sits at about 30 per cent for defencemen.
Context is key: we simply can’t treat all players as equals in a hockey vacuum. Sidney Crosby(84.8 per cent) and Erik Karlsson (49.4 per cent) lead career IPP and it’s not a fluke – they’re constantly involved in the run of play, and as such, pick up extra points along the way. If we want to identify outliers, we must first observe strong deviations from the league norms, and then observe strong deviations from a player’s career norms.
Let’s apply this to the 2015-16 Capitals.
Photo credit: @AndreBurakovsky
Because when you’re already good at carving up defensemen, this is the next thing in line.
Also, that reminds me. Like in years past, we want photos of your Caps-themed jack-o-lanterns for a RMNB post on Halloween. That’s on Thursday, people, so get moving.
Did you dress up as Alex Boovechkin, Mike Ghoul, or John Cadaver over the weekend? Or maybe you put on a black bedsheet and went to a party as George “The Undertaker” McPhee? Shoot us those photos too on Twitter or via email. We can’t wait to see what you crazy kids come up with.
Washington Capitals 2013 first-round draft pick Andre Burakovsky is off to a great start in his OHL career. He’s been playing on the Erie Otters’ second line and has 18 points in 13 games. Erie has tied their franchise-best ten-game winning streak after a 4-0 win over the Peterborough Petes on Saturday.
Burakovsky scored a highlight-reel goal in the third period of the game, marking his fourth straight game with points.
Tom Wilson and Madison Bowey during Caps Development Camp in July. (Photo credit: Chris Gordon)
[Editor’s Note: Fedor has reported on Washington Capitals prospects for RMNB for the last three years. This year we’re proud to introduce his prospect rankings. The rankings will be updated three times during the season– with the goal of updating you on how prospects are or not progressing. The first edition of the rankings come on the second day of Rookie Camp, as Caps prospects jockey for position within the organization.]
The Washington Capitals have re-stocked their prospect pipeline over the past two NHL drafts, giving fans a wealth of new players to get excited about in addition to a few solid free-agent prospects signings.
The 2012 Draft is turning out be a sterling spot on George McPhee’s resume. After picking Filip Forsberg and Tom Wilson in the first round, GMGM made a few strong picks in the latter rounds with Thomas DiPauli, Connor Carrick, Riley Barber, and Christian Djoos– all of whom have been invited to their junior national team camps and left good impressions.
Depth on defense is an area of strength for this crop of talent, with more than a few prospects ready to compete for roster spots as soon as they open.
Below, check out inaugural edition of the RMNB prospect rankings.
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