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	<title>Russian Machine Never Breaks &#187; Bad Sasha</title>
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		<title>Introducing: The Sasha Index</title>
		<link>http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2011/06/06/alex-semin-the-sasha-index/</link>
		<comments>http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2011/06/06/alex-semin-the-sasha-index/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 06 Jun 2011 14:33:08 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Neil Greenberg</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Artwork]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistical Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alex Semin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bad Sasha]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Good Sasha]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[The Sasha Index]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Washington Capitals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/?p=18451</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[As the postseason winds down, we finally have a chance to answer the questions that have plagued us all year. And one question above all others keeps us up at night: Who exactly is Alexander Semin? Sure, he&#8217;s a 6&#8217;2&#8243;, 205-lbs., Siberian-born forward for the Washington Capitals; that&#8217;s the straightforward answer. But he&#8217;s also a [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/good-sasha-bad-sasha2.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-18726" title="Good Sasha, Bad Sasha" src="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/good-sasha-bad-sasha2.jpg" alt="" width="607" /></a></p>
<p>As the postseason winds down, we finally have a chance to answer the questions that have plagued us all year. And one question above all others keeps us up at night:</p>
<p><em>Who exactly is Alexander Semin?</em></p>
<p>Sure, he&#8217;s a 6&#8217;2&#8243;, 205-lbs., Siberian-born forward for the Washington Capitals; that&#8217;s the straightforward answer. But he&#8217;s also a mystery &#8212; wrapped in an puzzle &#8212; and nestled in one of those 3D illusion posters where you have to lie to people about seeing the hidden sailboat. A hat-tricking firecracker on one night and a reckless penalty factory on another, we now know two Alex Semins. But how do we tell which is which?</p>
<p><span id="more-18451"></span></p>
<div id="attachment_18704" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 282px"><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/semin-can-turn-on-a-dime.gif"><img class="size-full wp-image-18704" title="semin-can-turn-on-a-dime" src="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/semin-can-turn-on-a-dime.gif" alt="" width="272" height="169" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Sasha can turn on a dime</p></div>
<p>In an attempt to quantify the hockey dichotomy that is Alex Semin, I am proud to introduce <em>The Sasha Index<sup>TM</sup></em>. Like the player it evaluates, the formula itself is an enigma, whose byzantine formula* of <em>Good Sasha</em> events (goals, assists and plus/minus) get weighed against <em>Bad Sasha </em>events (mistimed minor penalties and other fiendish acts that relegate him to the Sasha Box [previously known as the penalty box]).</p>
<p>Since Alex Semin hit the ice in the post-lockout era, fans have been treated to wondrous goals and stupefying offensive-zone stick penalties. Let&#8217;s look at the ten-game moving averages of <em>The Sasha Index</em>. An SI greater than zero indicates that it was Good Sasha who laced up his skates, while an SI that is negative was a game in which Bad Sasha made an appearance.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/sasha-index.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-18716" style="border: solid 2px #ccc;" title="The Sasha Index" src="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/sasha-index.jpg" alt="" width="607" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 15px;">In recent years we have seen Good Sasha 2.0, such as:</span></p>
<hr />
<p><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/good-sasha-icon.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-18687" title="Good Sasha" src="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/good-sasha-icon.jpg" alt="" width="25" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold;"><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2010/04/09/caps-beat-thrashers-5-2-everyone-gets-laid/">April 9, 2010, vs. Thrashers</a></span></p>
<p><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2010/04/09/caps-beat-thrashers-5-2-everyone-gets-laid/"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-18682" style="border: solid 1px #000;" title="Alex Semin nabs 3 assists against Atlanta" src="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/alex-semin-4-9-2010.jpeg" alt="" width="607" /></a></p>
<p>Alex Semin shoots 11 times without scoring. He&#8217;s not happy about it, but he nabs three assists anyhow. Caps win, 5-2.</p>
<hr />
<p><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/good-sasha-icon.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-18687" title="Good Sasha" src="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/good-sasha-icon.jpg" alt="" width="25" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold;"><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2011/02/17/alex-semin-fourth-hat-trick-caps-beat-ducks-7-6/">February 16, 2011, at Ducks</a></span></p>
<p><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2011/02/17/alex-semin-fourth-hat-trick-caps-beat-ducks-7-6/"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-18681" style="border: solid 1px #000;" title="Alex Semin hat trick against Anaheim" src="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/alex-semin-2-16-2011.jpeg" alt="" width="607" /></a></p>
<p>Lesser Sasha records an assist and <a href="http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ESBc5xi4JKc" target="_blank">three goals</a>, which kids these days are calling a <em>hat trick</em>, including both the tying and winning goals. Caps win, 7-6.</p>
<hr />
<p><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/good-sasha-icon.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-18687" title="Good Sasha" src="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/good-sasha-icon.jpg" alt="" width="25" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold;"><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2010/11/11/semin-snatches-the-hat-caps-beat-bolts-6-3/">November 11, 2010, vs. Lightning</a></span></p>
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<p>Semin&#8217;s dynamo performance includes a hat trick, drawing the only penalty of the night, creating five scoring chances and setting up one gorgeous Alex Ovechkin goal. Plus-five. Caps win, 6-3.</p>
<p><span style="font-size: 15px;">But we&#8217;ve seen bad Sasha as well.</span></p>
<hr />
<p><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/bad-sasha-icon.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-18713" title="Bad Sasha" src="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/bad-sasha-icon.jpg" alt="" width="25" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold;"><a href="http://www.japersrink.com/2009/11/6/1119981/recap-caps-4-panthers-1">November 4, 2009,  at Panthers</a></span></p>
<p><a href="http://www.japersrink.com/2009/11/6/1119981/recap-caps-4-panthers-1"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-18701" style="border: solid 1px #000;" title="Alex Semin diving for the puck" src="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/alex-semin-diving-for-puck.jpg" alt="" width="607" /></a></p>
<p>In nearly 20 minutes of time on ice, Alex musters up just one solitary shot on goal. That&#8217;s it. Caps win, 4-1.</p>
<hr />
<p><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/bad-sasha-icon.jpg"><img class="alignleft size-full wp-image-18713" title="Bad Sasha" src="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/bad-sasha-icon.jpg" alt="" width="25" /></a></p>
<p><span style="font-size: 16px; font-weight: bold;"><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2010/11/20/saturday-night-letdown-flyers-beat-caps-5-4-so/#more-10509">November 20, 2010, vs Flyers</a></span></p>
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<p>Alex earns himself three trips to the Sasha Box with three separate stick penalties. Meanwhile, on offense: nothing. The shootout actually comes down to Semin vs. Boucher (at 3:36 above), whom Alex beats cleanly before ringing the post to end a bummer of a game. Flyers win, 5-4 (SO).</p>
<hr />
<p>For those of you who doubt its power, I invite you to look at Exhibit B, the team&#8217;s win-loss record since the lockout when either Good Sasha or Bad Sasha is on the ice. We will also include Neutral Sasha, whose presence is neither positive nor negative.</p>
<table style="text-align: center; margin-bottom: 15px; border: solid 1px #666; margin-left: 165px;" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="250">
<tbody>
<tr height="15">
<td class="statHead2" height="15">Sasha Type</td>
<td class="statHead2">Win %</td>
</tr>
<tr height="15">
<td height="15">Bad Sasha</td>
<td>0.426</td>
</tr>
<tr height="15">
<td class="greyTD" height="15">Neutral Sasha</td>
<td class="greyTD">0.507</td>
</tr>
<tr height="15">
<td height="15">Good Sasha</td>
<td>0.693</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>The mere presence of the two-headed Sasha can turn a team from the Columbus Blue Jackets into the Vancouver Canucks.</p>
<p>So even if the goals disappear and our goalies&#8217; groins shrivel into dust, Alex Semin&#8217;s inscrutability will be our constant. Predicting which of his multiple personalities shows up on a given night is a Washington ritual. Laud him or loathe him, Alex Semin is a two-faced hockey phenomenon. And like the Batman villain, stuff&#8217;s always more interesting with him around.</p>
<p>We leave you with some original art on the topic by our own Rachel Cohen:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/goodsasha-badsasha.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-18591" style="border: solid 1px #000;" title="Good Sasha / Bad Sasha" src="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/06/goodsasha-badsasha.jpg" alt="" width="607" /></a></p>
<p>* <em>The Sasha Index is calculated by adding Points to Plus/Minus and subtracting PIMs associated with minor penalties.</em></p>
<p><em>Additional stuff by Rachel, Ian, Peter, and Chris.</em></p>
 
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