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	<title>Russian Machine Never Breaks &#187; Blaine High School</title>
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		<title>Capitals Get Value in Two Year Extension with Matt Hendricks</title>
		<link>http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2011/02/24/capitals-get-value-in-two-year-extension-with-matt-hendricks/</link>
		<comments>http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2011/02/24/capitals-get-value-in-two-year-extension-with-matt-hendricks/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Thu, 24 Feb 2011 05:17:09 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Neil Greenberg</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistical Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Blaine High School]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Goals Versus Salary]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[GVT]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Hendricks]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Washington Capitals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/?p=14462</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Photo by RMNB&#8217;s own Chris Gordon The Washington Capitals announced Wednesday that they have signed forward Matt Hendricks to a two-year contract extension worth $800,000 per season. The Blaine, Minnesota native has become a fan favorite this year &#8212; his first as a Capital. After coming to training camp on a professional try-out, Hendricks signed a [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/matt-hendricks-resigns.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-14493" style="border: solid 1px #000" title="Matt Hendricks re-signs" src="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/02/matt-hendricks-resigns.jpg" alt="Matt Hendricks re-signs" width="607" /></a></p>
<p><em>Photo by RMNB&#8217;s own <a href="http://www.capssnaps.com" target="_blank">Chris Gordon</a></em></p>
<p>The Washington Capitals announced Wednesday that they have signed forward <a href="http://www.nhl.com/ice/player.htm?id=8468611">Matt Hendricks</a> to a <a href="http://voices.washingtonpost.com/capitalsinsider/bruce-boudreau/matt-hendricks-contract-extension.html?wprss=capitalsinsider" target="_blank">two-year contract extension</a> worth $800,000 per season. The Blaine, Minnesota native has become a fan favorite this year &#8212; his first as a Capital. After coming to training camp on a professional try-out, Hendricks signed a one-year deal with the Caps in September. He has <a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2011/01/26/matt-hendricks-brings-grit-grime-dekes-to-the-caps/" target="_blank">made a name for himself in DC with his enthusiasm, grit</a> and <a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2011/01/04/bolts-beat-caps-1-0-ot-goalies-stats-say-thanks/" target="_blank">willingness to drop the gloves and fight  blindfolded</a>.</p>
<p>After breaking into the NHL with the Colorado Avalanche in 2009 on a two-way contract, Hendricks has finally inked himself to his first career one-way deal. The signing caps off a productive week for the 29 year-old. Blaine High School &#8212; Hendricks&#8217; alma mater &#8212; <a href="http://twitter.com/#!/ChrisDilks/status/39187706827251712" target="_blank">retired his former number 10 jersey</a> over the weekend.</p>
<p>Concerning Hendricks&#8217; contract itself, it provides a good value to the Capitals with little downside. We can evaluate the deal using the <a href="http://www.puckprospectus.com/unfiltered/?p=70" target="_blank">Goals Versus Salary</a> (GVS) metric, which measures a player’s offensive and defensive contributions in goals relative to what the team should expect  given the player’s salary.</p>
<p><span id="more-14462"></span></p>
<p>For example, this season <a href="http://www.behindthenet.ca/2010/gvt.php?sort=14&amp;mingp=&amp;team=WSH&amp;pos=" target="_blank">Matt Hendricks has already contributed 3.2 goals above threshold</a>, or GVT, which would equate to roughly a $1.5 million cap hit. So, if a team were to spend $1.5 million they should expect to get 3.2 goals above what a replacement player would provide.</p>
<p>Since this is a 2-year deal we can project Hendricks&#8217; performance using similar players at the same age over the life of the contract.</p>
<table style="border-collapse:  collapse;table-layout:fixed; margin-bottom: 15px; text-align: center" border="0" cellspacing="0" cellpadding="0" width="600">
<tbody>
<tr height="13">
<td class="xl26 statHead2" width="125" height="13">Season</td>
<td class="xl26 statHead2">GP</td>
<td class="xl26 statHead2">G</td>
<td class="xl26 statHead2">A</td>
<td class="xl26 statHead2">PTS</td>
<td class="xl26 statHead2">PIM</td>
<td class="xl26 statHead2">S</td>
<td class="xl26 statHead2">TOI</td>
</tr>
<tr height="13">
<td class="xl24" height="13">2008-09</td>
<td class="xl24">4</td>
<td class="xl24">0</td>
<td class="xl24">0</td>
<td class="xl24">0</td>
<td class="xl24">13</td>
<td class="xl24">5</td>
<td class="xl24">34</td>
</tr>
<tr height="13">
<td class="xl24 greyTD" height="13">2009-10</td>
<td class="xl24 greyTD">56</td>
<td class="xl24 greyTD">9</td>
<td class="xl24 greyTD">7</td>
<td class="xl24 greyTD">16</td>
<td class="xl24 greyTD">74</td>
<td class="xl24 greyTD">63</td>
<td class="xl24 greyTD">519</td>
</tr>
<tr height="13">
<td class="xl24" height="13">2010-11</td>
<td class="xl24">57</td>
<td class="xl24">7</td>
<td class="xl24">12</td>
<td class="xl24">19</td>
<td class="xl24">84</td>
<td class="xl24">86</td>
<td class="xl24">667</td>
</tr>
<tr height="13">
<td class="xl24 greyTD" height="13">proj. 2012</td>
<td class="xl25 greyTD">82</td>
<td class="xl25 greyTD">10</td>
<td class="xl25 greyTD">13</td>
<td class="xl25 greyTD">23</td>
<td class="xl25 greyTD">111</td>
<td class="xl25 greyTD">92</td>
<td class="xl25 greyTD">874</td>
</tr>
<tr height="13">
<td class="xl24" height="13">proj. 2013</td>
<td class="xl25">82</td>
<td class="xl25">8</td>
<td class="xl25">8</td>
<td class="xl25">16</td>
<td class="xl25">127</td>
<td class="xl25">69</td>
<td class="xl25">732</td>
</tr>
</tbody>
</table>
<p>His projection &#8212; over 82 games &#8212; would be valued at about a $1.3 million cap hit in 2012 and at $0.87 million in 2013. That would mean Washington is paying $1.6 million for over $2 million worth of production. Even in a worse case scenario, the organization would only have to see boxcars of 5-5-10 with 30-40 PIMs over 55 games each year for the contract to &#8220;break even.&#8221; That makes this a nice move for the Caps. Their fans will certainly be happy to have Hendricks in the nation&#8217;s capital for years to come.</p>
<p><span style="font-size: 15px;"><strong>Additional Reaction</strong></span> <!-- http://twitter.com/#!/AndrewGordon10/status/40525561105223680 --><br />
<style type='text/css'>.bbpBox40525561105223680 {background:url(http://a3.twimg.com/profile_background_images/162120657/gordo-twitter-bkgd.jpg) #131516;padding:20px;} p.bbpTweet{background:#fff;padding:10px 12px 10px 12px;margin:0;min-height:48px;color:#000;font-size:18px !important;line-height:22px;-moz-border-radius:5px;-webkit-border-radius:5px} p.bbpTweet span.metadata{display:block;width:100%;clear:both;margin-top:8px;padding-top:12px;height:40px;border-top:1px solid #fff;border-top:1px solid #e6e6e6} p.bbpTweet span.metadata span.author{line-height:19px} p.bbpTweet span.metadata span.author img{float:left;margin:0 7px 0 0px;width:38px;height:38px} p.bbpTweet a:hover{text-decoration:underline}p.bbpTweet span.timestamp{font-size:12px;display:block}</style>
<div class='bbpBox40525561105223680'>
<p class='bbpTweet'>Good to see Hendy get repaid for all his efforts! I havent seen a more heart and soul guy than that. If im a GM he&#8217;s on my team every year.<span class='timestamp'><a title='Wed Feb 23 21:37:01 +0000 2011' href='http://twitter.com/#!/AndrewGordon10/status/40525561105223680'>less than a minute ago</a> via web</span><span class='metadata'><span class='author'><a href='http://twitter.com/AndrewGordon10'><img src='http://a0.twimg.com/profile_images/1125947416/Caps-Leafs_normal.jpg' /></a><strong><a href='http://twitter.com/AndrewGordon10'>Andrew Gordon</a></strong><br/>AndrewGordon10</span></span></p>
</div>
<p> <!-- end of tweet --> <!-- http://twitter.com/#!/MayHockeyCSN/status/40485252832960512 --><br />
<style type='text/css'>.bbpBox40485252832960510 {background:url(http://a3.twimg.com/a/1298399424/images/themes/theme1/bg.png) #C0DEED;padding:20px;} p.bbpTweet{background:#fff;padding:10px 12px 10px 12px;margin:0;min-height:48px;color:#000;font-size:18px !important;line-height:22px;-moz-border-radius:5px;-webkit-border-radius:5px} p.bbpTweet span.metadata{display:block;width:100%;clear:both;margin-top:8px;padding-top:12px;height:40px;border-top:1px solid #fff;border-top:1px solid #e6e6e6} p.bbpTweet span.metadata span.author{line-height:19px} p.bbpTweet span.metadata span.author img{float:left;margin:0 7px 0 0px;width:38px;height:38px} p.bbpTweet a:hover{text-decoration:underline}p.bbpTweet span.timestamp{font-size:12px;display:block}</style>
<div class='bbpBox40485252832960510'>
<p class='bbpTweet'>Good day just became a great day, <a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23Caps" title="#Caps" class="tweet-url hashtag" rel="nofollow">#Caps</a> sign <a href="http://twitter.com/search?q=%23MattHendricks" title="#MattHendricks" class="tweet-url hashtag" rel="nofollow">#MattHendricks</a> to 2yr extension, very well deserved. Plays with character, dedication &#038; heart<span class='timestamp'><a title='Wed Feb 23 18:56:51 +0000 2011' href='http://twitter.com/#!/MayHockeyCSN/status/40485252832960512'>less than a minute ago</a> via <a href="http://twitter.com/" rel="nofollow">Twitter for iPhone</a></span><span class='metadata'><span class='author'><a href='http://twitter.com/MayHockeyCSN'><img src='http://a0.twimg.com/profile_images/1140284860/090508_mayFeature1_normal.jpg' /></a><strong><a href='http://twitter.com/MayHockeyCSN'>Alan May</a></strong><br/>MayHockeyCSN</span></span></p>
</div>
<p> <!-- end of tweet --></p>
<p><a href="http://www.modells.com/product/index.jsp?productId=2839593&amp;s=D-StorePrice-MOD&amp;cp=3201685.3925164.3925168.1920318.1920346.2134502" target="_blank">Now go order that jersey</a>.</p>
<p>[Really. Go order that jersey. Modell's is having a 40% sale today only. Coupon code is MOD40ASI223]</p>
<p><em>Introduction by Chris Gordon; editing by Ian Oland.</em></p>
 
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