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	<title>Russian Machine Never Breaks &#187; Dino Ciccarelli</title>
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		<title>Old Man Knuble</title>
		<link>http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2011/09/19/old-man-mike-knuble-washington-capitals/</link>
		<comments>http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2011/09/19/old-man-mike-knuble-washington-capitals/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Mon, 19 Sep 2011 15:30:01 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Neil Greenberg</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Statistical Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Bill Guerin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brendan Shanahan]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brett Hull]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Brian Leetch]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Daily Show]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dino Ciccarelli]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Dominik Hasek]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Grant Furh]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mario Lemieux]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Messier]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mark Recchi]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Knuble]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Patrick Roy]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Phil Collins]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ron Hextall]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Steve Yzerman]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Teemu Selanne]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Washington Capitals]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Wayne Gretzky]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/?p=22334</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Photo credit: Chris Gordon A 24-year-old Mike Knuble, then a promising forward prospect, played nine games for the Detroit Red Wings during the 1996-97 season. Players who were still playing during Knuble&#8217;s first season in the NHL include Wayne Gretzky, Mario Lemieux, Patrick Roy, Dominik Hasek, Steve Yzerman, Brett Hull, Mark Messier, Dino Ciccarelli, Brian [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/mike-knuble1.jpg"><img src="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/mike-knuble1.jpg" alt="Mike Knuble" title="Mike Knuble" width="607" style="border: solid 1px #000" class="alignnone size-full wp-image-22373" /></a></p>
<p><em>Photo credit: Chris Gordon</em></p>
<p>A 24-year-old Mike Knuble, then a promising forward prospect, played nine games for the Detroit Red Wings during the 1996-97 season.</p>
<p>Players who were still playing during Knuble&#8217;s first season in the NHL include Wayne Gretzky, Mario Lemieux, Patrick Roy, Dominik Hasek, Steve Yzerman, Brett Hull, Mark Messier, Dino Ciccarelli, Brian Leetch, Grant Fuhr, and Ron Hextall.</p>
<p>Just days after Knuble&#8217;s first game, Phil Collins announced that he was leaving Genesis to focus on his solo career, M.C. Hammer wasn&#8217;t yet bankrupt, and it would be months before The Daily Show debuts on Comedy Central.</p>
<p>I guess what I am trying to say is Knuble is <del>old</del> getting up there in years, but don&#8217;t tell him that.</p>
<p><span id="more-22334"></span></p>
<p>“I&#8217;m out there playing for another deal,” <a href="http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/capitals-insider/post/capitals-mike-knuble-im-out-there-playing-for-another-deal/2011/08/30/gIQAc9atpJ_blog.html">he said</a>. “I&#8217;m not riding off into the sunset. I want to make that point clear to everybody. This is no farewell song.”</p>
<p>I agree with him, but it is one of the last tracks on <a href="http://www.amazon.com/Greatest-Hits-Ramones/dp/B000EXZI0A">a darn good Greatest Hits album</a>.</p>
<p>Players like Knuble who are productive over the age of 35 tend to keep their production rates in the league relatively stable as they age. Knuble was also a late bloomer: He had averaged eight goals per season his first three years and has almost tripled that production in his last three.</p>
<p><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/Knuble.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-22336" title="Knuble" src="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/Knuble.jpg" alt="" width="398" height="240" /></a></p>
<p>Using wingers who played at 39 years old post-lockout, we can make an educated guess on Knuble&#8217;s production for 2011-12. I will caution you that the entire player pool from which to draw from is limited, containing only Bill Guerin, Brendan Shanahan, Mark Recchi, and Teemu Selanne.</p>
<p>Using these players as a guide, we can speculate that Knuble will play 75 games, score 34 points (21 G and 13A) while taking 188 shots on goal.</p>
<p>Here are some probabilities for goals and point scored:</p>
<p><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/Knuble-probs.jpg"><img class="aligncenter size-full wp-image-22341" title="Knuble probs" src="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2011/09/Knuble-probs.jpg" alt="" width="362" height="309" /></a></p>
<p>“It&#8217;s going to be a challenging year, definitely, with more competition,&#8221; cautioned Knuble. &#8220;Nothing is guaranteed.&#8221;</p>
<p>We couldn&#8217;t agree more.</p>
 
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