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		<title>Is Nicklas Backstrom Really the 9th Best Center in the NHL?</title>
		<link>http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2010/07/24/is-nicklas-backstrom-really-the-9th-best-center-in-the-nhl/</link>
		<comments>http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2010/07/24/is-nicklas-backstrom-really-the-9th-best-center-in-the-nhl/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Sat, 24 Jul 2010 21:36:32 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Neil Greenberg</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Analysis]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Adrian Dater]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Henrik Sedin]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Joe Thornton]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Jonathan Toews]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mike Richards]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Mikko Koivu]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nicklas Backstrom]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Pavel Datsyu]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Ryan Getzlaf]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Sidney Crosby]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/?p=6376</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[Adrian Dater had an interesting post naming the top 10 centers in the NHL. As you would expect with 30 teams, each with 4 centers, some big names were omitted. The ranking is also subject to much debate. Take a look: Sidney Crosby, PIT Pavel Datsyuk, DET Henrik Sedin, VAN Jonathan Toews, CHI Mike Richards, [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/nicklas-backstrom-portrait-wide.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-6402" style="border: 1px solid #00204d;" title="A Portrait of supposedly the 9th best Center in the NHL, Nicklas Backstrom. (Photo by Al Bello/Editing by Ian Oland of RMNB)" src="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/nicklas-backstrom-portrait-wide.jpg" alt="A Portrait of supposedly the 9th best Center in the NHL, Nicklas Backstrom. (Photo by Al Bello/Editing by Ian Oland of RMNB)" width="607" height="392" /></a></p>
<p><strong>Adrian Dater</strong> had an interesting post <a href="http://www.versus.com/blogs/no-holding-back/here-are-the-top-10-nhl-centers/" target="_blank">naming the top 10 centers in the NHL</a>. As you would expect with 30 teams, each with 4 centers, some big names were omitted. The ranking is also subject to much debate.  Take a look:</p>
<blockquote>
<ol>
<li>Sidney Crosby, PIT</li>
<li>Pavel Datsyuk, DET</li>
<li>Henrik Sedin, VAN</li>
<li>Jonathan Toews, CHI</li>
<li>Mike Richards, PHI</li>
<li>Evgeni Malkin, PIT</li>
<li>Mikko Koivu, MIN</li>
<li>Joe Thornton, SJS</li>
<li>Nicklas Backstrom, WSH</li>
<li>Ryan Getzlaf, ANA</li>
</ol>
</blockquote>
<p><span id="more-6376"></span></p>
<div id="attachment_6406" class="wp-caption alignright" style="width: 310px"><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/backstrom-girlfriend-shirt.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-6406" title="Backstrom shirt: Your girlfriend loves wearing my jersey" src="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/backstrom-girlfriend-shirt-300x225.jpg" alt="Nicklas Backstrom's favorite shirt: Your girlfriend loves wearing my jersey" width="300" height="225" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Nicklas Backstrom&#39;s favorite shirt: Your girlfriend loves wearing my jersey</p></div>
<p>You would think that Nicklas Backstrom being 9th out of <a href="http://www.hockey-reference.com/leagues/NHL_2010_skaters.html" target="_blank">all NHL pivots</a> would be cause for celebration! Instead I am ready to fight for the guy &#8211; even if<a href="http://twitter.com/wyshynski/status/13138901286" target="_blank"> my girlfriend wears his jersey</a>. Well, if I had a girlfriend. But that&#8217;s a post for another day.</p>
<p><strong>So where should Backstrom rank in this Top 10?</strong></p>
<p>The <a href="http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Centre_%28ice_hockey%29" target="_blank">center position</a> is one of the tougher positions to quantify: They are defensively responsible for two opposing wingers, they try to win faceoffs and they have to put points on the board. Then there is the burning question: <em>How many Cups have they won?</em></p>
<p>We should also not limit ourselves to just one season. For this exercise I am going to look at the 3-year averages to help smooth the curve a bit.</p>
<p>Let&#8217;s start with the easy one: <a href="http://www.hockey-reference.com/playoffs/" target="_blank"><em>Did they win a Cup?</em></a> Crosby, Malkin, Datsyuk and Toews have all kissed The Cup while Malkin and Toews have also won the Conn Smythe as Playoffs MVP.  Without a ring, Backstrom still has some work to do to be the #1 center in the league.</p>
<p>Next we will analyze their offensive numbers.</p>
<p>I had a <a href="http://twitter.com/CP2Devil/status/19425714850" target="_blank">tweep remark</a>:<span><span><span> <em>When Nick wins more faceoffs then you can bitch about him being #9.</em> Well, here I am so <img src='http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-includes/images/smilies/icon_razz.gif' alt=':-P' class='wp-smiley' /> . Seriously though, </span></span></span>just because you don’t win faceoffs doesn’t mean you’re not helping your team’s offensive production. That&#8217;s why statistics like CORSI and others at <a href="http://behindthenet.ca/" target="_blank">Behind the Net</a> are so valuable: They help put everything in context.</p>
<div id="attachment_6413" class="wp-caption alignleft" style="width: 245px"><a href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/nicklas-backstrom-hattrick.jpg"><img class="size-medium wp-image-6413" title="nicklas-backstrom-hattrick" src="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/nicklas-backstrom-hattrick-235x300.jpg" alt="Sure he doesn't win all his faceoffs,  but Nicky joined Sid and Henrik as the only three centers in the NHL last year to score over 100 points." width="235" height="300" /></a><p class="wp-caption-text">Sure he doesn&#39;t win all his faceoffs, but Nicky joined Sid and Henrik as the only three centers in the NHL last year to score over 100 points.</p></div>
<p>So yes, I agree Backstrom doesn&#8217;t win a huge amount of faceoffs. <strong>But</strong> he&#8217;s averaged 2.48 points per 60 minutes over the past 3 years (good for 6th on this list behind Crosby, Sedin, Malkin, Thornton and Datsyuk).  He also was <a href="http://behindthenet.ca/2009/new_5_on_5.php?sort=17&amp;section=goals&amp;mingp=20&amp;mintoi=&amp;team=&amp;pos=C" target="_blank">third among centers (behind Hart and Ross Trophy winner Sedin and 50 goal scorer Crosby) in points per 60 minutes in 2010</a>.</p>
<p>Defensively only Mike Richards and Evgeni Malkin have averaged a negative CORSI ON, meaning more shots have been directed to their own net while they were on the ice. Richards has an excuse: He started only 46.8% of the time in his own offensive zone (next lowest was Mikko Koivu at 50.4%!), while playing with below average teammates against decent competition. Malkin&#8217;s poor play came despite starting a whopping 58.17% of the time in his OWN offensive zone. Only Toews (60.9%) and Backstrom (59.17%) were  higher, but both of those players had positive CORSI&#8217;s.</p>
<p>Backstrom&#8217;s CORSI ON (17.18) is behind only Datsyuk (22.1) and Toews (18.38). Simply put, when Nicklas Backstrom is on the ice his team gets the puck to  the net &#8211; a lot. And before we throw the &#8220;<em>Of course he does, he plays with Ovechkin</em>&#8221; argument out there, let&#8217;s keep in mind that both Toews and Datsyuk played with better linemates statistically over the past 3 years.  So they too had help yet are ranked ahead of Backstrom on Dater&#8217;s Top 10. This means we can&#8217;t discount the play of Backstrom&#8217;s wingers if we are not ready to do so for the others.</p>
<p>If we look at Goals For and Goals Against differential as a defensive indicator, Backstrom shines here as well. He ranks second (1.31) in this group over the past 3 years trailing only Datsyuk (1.63) &#8211; who won the last three <a href="http://www.hockey-reference.com/awards/selke.html" target="_blank">Selke awards</a>. <a href="http://behindthenet.ca/2009/new_5_on_5.php?sort=22&amp;section=goals&amp;mingp=60&amp;mintoi=10&amp;team=ALL&amp;pos=C" target="_blank">Last year, Backstrom led all centers (60+ games played) with 2.15</a>.</p>
<p>To summarize: offensively Backstrom is middle of the Top 10 pack at 2.48 points per 60 minutes while defensively falling behind only Pavel Datsyuk and perhaps Jonathan Toews.</p>
<p>Now that we have the context settled: Where should Backstrom actually rank?</p>
<p>Some would say he is &#8220;<a href="http://twitter.com/CP2Devil/status/19427399705" target="_blank">still not [a] Top 5</a>&#8221; center but they would be wrong. Without a Cup, sure Nicky takes a back seat to Crosby, Datsyuk and now perhaps Toews.  But after that, it would be tough to argue that Nicklas Backstrom is undeserving of a Top 5 slot.</p>
 
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