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	<title>Russian Machine Never Breaks &#187; Valtteri Filppula</title>
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	<link>http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com</link>
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		<title>Flash (Back) In The Pan</title>
		<link>http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2010/07/27/flash-back-in-the-pan/</link>
		<comments>http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/2010/07/27/flash-back-in-the-pan/#comments</comments>
		<pubDate>Wed, 28 Jul 2010 03:49:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<dc:creator>Neil Greenberg</dc:creator>
				<category><![CDATA[Opinion]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alexander Frolov]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Alexei Ponikarovsky]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Arbitration]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Clarke MacArthur]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Matt Moulson]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Nate Ewell]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Tomas Fleischmann]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Valtteri Filppula]]></category>
		<category><![CDATA[Washington Capitals]]></category>

		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/?p=6561</guid>
		<description><![CDATA[What started with an apology from Caps PR Mogul Nate Ewell ended with information that sent the Twittersphere into a tizzy: The Washington Capitals have signed forward Tomas Fleischmann to a one-year contract. The pact is reported to be for $2.6 million and avoids a potentially messy arbitration hearing that was set to be heard [...]]]></description>
				<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p><a class="vt-p" href="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/tomas-fleischmann.jpg"><img class="alignnone size-full wp-image-6570" style="border: 1px solid #00204d;" title="tomas-fleischmann" src="http://www.russianmachineneverbreaks.com/wp-content/uploads/2010/07/tomas-fleischmann.jpg" alt="tomas-fleischmann" width="607" /></a></p>
<p>What started with <a class="vt-p" href="http://twitter.com/nateewell/status/19698944274" target="_blank">an apology from Caps PR Mogul Nate Ewell</a> ended with information that sent the Twittersphere into a tizzy: <a class="vt-p" href="http://capitals.nhl.com/club/news.htm?id=535038" target="_blank">The Washington Capitals have signed forward Tomas Fleischmann to a  one-year contract.</a> The pact is reported to be <a class="vt-p" href="http://twitter.com/TarikElBashir/status/19699193546" target="_blank">for $2.6 million</a> and avoids a  potentially messy arbitration hearing that was set to be heard Wednesday.</p>
<p>The important thing to remember here is that the Capitals <em>were</em> going to sign Fleischmann to a one-year deal regardless.  You simply do not let a developed asset like a 20-goal scorer walk away for nothing, and avoiding arbitration helps preserve goodwill on both sides. The only important detail was: <em>for how much?</em></p>
<p>And that seems to be the rub for most: $2.6 million is too much.<em> But is it?</em></p>
<p><span id="more-6561"></span></p>
<p>The fine people over at <a class="vt-p" href="http://www.japersrink.com/" target="_blank">Japer&#8217;s Rink</a> did an <a class="vt-p" href="http://www.japersrink.com/2010/7/26/1583873/mock-arbitration-tomas-fleischmann" target="_blank">excellent mock arbitration briefing that illustrates what Flash&#8217;s career</a> has amounted to at this point:</p>
<blockquote><p>It is beyond debate that Tomas Fleischmann is a skilled hockey player.  He has improved his per-game goal and point totals in each of his  seasons in the National Hockey League (NHL), registering career highs  nearly across the board during the 2009-10 regular season and finishing  sixth in goals scored on an offensively potent Washington  Capitals team.</p></blockquote>
<p>So the question becomes: <em>what is Flesichman&#8217;s 56G/72A /128P in 260 games</em><em> worth?</em></p>
<p>The one player with similar career stats at the same ages for the first five years of their career is <strong><a class="vt-p" href="http://www.hockey-reference.com/players/f/filppva01.html" target="_blank">Valtteri Filppula</a></strong>, who in 290 games has boxcar stats of 52G/77A/129P &#8211; never scoring more than 19 goals in a season &#8211; making <a class="vt-p" href="http://capgeek.com/players/display.php?id=282" target="_blank">$3.5M in 2010-11.</a></p>
<p>Then we have the UFA/RFA climate, such as <a class="vt-p" href="http://www.usatoday.com/sports/hockey/nhl/2010-07-21-macarthur-arbitration-walkaway_N.htm" target="_blank">Clarke MacArthur’s $2.4M award that the Atlanta Thrashers walked away from </a>and <a class="vt-p" href="http://sports.yahoo.com/nhl/blog/puck_daddy/post/Islanders-ink-Moulson-to-1-year-deal-ruining-ar?urn=nhl-258468" target="_blank">Matt Moulson also avoiding arbitration after agreeing to $2.45 with the Islanders</a>, along with <a class="vt-p" href="http://latimesblogs.latimes.com/sports_blog/2010/07/alexander-frolov-agrees-to-terms-with-new-york-rangers.html" target="_blank">Alexander Frolov</a> and <a class="vt-p" href="http://www.google.com/hostednews/ap/article/ALeqM5i1TlLFK72gYISoVm7hHbohb9axugD9H7M2SO0" target="_blank">Alexei Ponikarovsky</a> each signing $3M contracts as UFAs.</p>
<p>This pegs Fleischmann&#8217;s value somewhere in the $2.5 to $3.5 million range &#8211; despite him being terrible when it came to puck possession (having <a class="vt-p" href="http://www.behindthenet.ca/2009/new_5_on_5.php?sort=27&amp;section=corsi&amp;mingp=20&amp;mintoi=&amp;team=WSH&amp;pos=F" target="_blank">the worst 5v5 CORSI ON</a> for any Capital playing more than 20 games) or that he was on the ice for more <a class="vt-p" href="http://www.behindthenet.ca/2009/new_5_on_5.php?sort=33&amp;section=corsi&amp;mingp=20&amp;mintoi=&amp;team=WSH&amp;pos=F" target="_blank">Goals Against per 60 minutes</a> than any other Caps skater.</p>
<p>Luckily for Fleischmann the market (and potential) dictates value, and a 25-year old forward on the upside of his career simply cannot be let go for nothing.</p>
<p>So join me in welcoming the Caps opening night <s>2nd line left wing</s> <s>mice-droppings collector</s> 2nd line center, and let us know what you think Flash is worth in the comments.</p>
 
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